Britain’s immigration failures were built through government decisions. Ministers expanded a route without properly assessing its consequences, oversaw a sponsorship system vulnerable to fraud, and deliberately paused cancellations when care sponsors lost their licences. The public deserves accountability for those choices.
The public warning has been repeated
In August 2026, YouGov reported that 69% of Britons believed immigration over the previous ten years had been too high. When it asked the same question in 2016, 70% said so. A decade apart, the message was unmistakable: a large majority believed immigration had exceeded acceptable levels.[1]
Whose views shaped settlement policy?
The Home Office’s earned-settlement consultation received 202,241 individual responses. 73% came from current visa holders; 18% from British citizens. The report itself warns that responses were unweighted and should not be interpreted as representative of the wider public.[2]
YouGov: views on past immigration levels. Home Office: respondents to proposed settlement reforms. Consultation percentages are rounded.
On 2 November, the Home Secretary explicitly linked care-worker settlement arrangements to consultation responses. Ministers were responding to a pool dominated by people whose own settlement prospects were at stake. Using that feedback to justify concessions gives self-selected respondents greater influence without demonstrating wider public consent.[3]
Expanded first, assessed later
In its March 2025 audit, the National Audit Office found that the Home Office expanded the care-worker route in 2022 without an impact assessment. It was also unprepared for the additional risks.[5]
The same audit found that resource constraints meant just 1% of sponsors had been referred for compliance checks, with more than half of live cases awaiting a compliance visit. Across the wider Skilled Worker route, asylum claims rose from 53 in 2022 to 5,300 in 2024.[5] Government expanded the system before it had the safeguards or oversight to manage it.
A real care home’s identity, a fraudulent licence
The Home Office’s own March 2024 response to an inspection acknowledged that a sponsor licence had been secured using false information and evidence in the name of a real care home, without that home’s knowledge. The licence was then granted 275 Defined Certificates of Sponsorship.[6]
The department also listed reasons for revoking care sponsors’ licences: workers supplied to third parties as labour, workers doing different jobs, failure to pay promised salaries and breaches of employment law.[6] These failures strike at the basic premise of the route: a genuine employer offering a genuine, properly paid care job.
The cancellation pause was deliberate
At a Public Accounts Committee hearing on 8 May 2025, Home Office director Marc Owen made the position explicit.[7]
“In terms of care workers, we have not been cancelling their visas since late 2023.”
Marc Owen, Home Office · Public Accounts Committee, 8 May 2025 [7]
He said officials had deliberately worked with the Department of Health and Social Care to rematch workers to genuine providers and avoid pushing them into illegal work or asylum claims.[7] The government’s response to failed sponsorship included preserving permission to stay while it sought replacement jobs.
That admission demands an explanation of the department’s March 2024 statement that withdrawing sponsors’ licences inevitably led to cancelling workers’ leave. Its later testimony described a deliberate pause dating from before that statement was published.[6] [7] The public was entitled to a clear account of the policy actually being applied.
By 2 November 2026, the Home Secretary was reporting approximately 1,800 employers, primarily in care, stripped of sponsor licences.[3] Yet the September 2026 cancellation guidance still expressly protected care workers from cancellation solely because their sponsor lost its licence.[4]
Government owns the consequences
The record spans successive governments: expansion without an impact assessment, weak compliance capacity, sponsorship obtained through false evidence and an explicit cancellation pause. Ministers authorised the system and officials administered it. Responsibility belongs with them.
Accountability requires publishing how many affected workers obtained genuine replacement jobs, how many permissions ended and how many people left. It also requires explaining why an unrepresentative consultation should carry such weight when the public has repeatedly judged immigration too high.
Research & sources
- YouGov — Britons have a more negative view of immigration in 2026 than in 2016
10 August 2026. The same question about immigration over the preceding ten years produced 69% in 2026 and 70% in 2016.
- Home Office / IFF Research — Earned Settlement: Public Consultation analysis
2 November 2026. Table 1, p. 10: 146,655 current visa holders and 35,412 British citizens, from 202,241 individual responses. The report’s warning about unweighted, unrepresentative responses appears on p. 9.
- Hansard — Immigration: Earned Settlement
2 November 2026. The Home Secretary linked care-worker arrangements to consultation responses and reported approximately 1,800 employers losing licences, primarily in care.
- Home Office — Cancellation and curtailment of permission, version 12.0
Updated 14 September 2026. Temporary exception for care and senior care workers where sponsor-licence revocation is the sole cancellation reason. Other cancellation grounds apply.
- National Audit Office — Immigration: Skilled Worker visas
17 March 2025. Summary paragraphs 7–8 and 13: impact and risk assessments, compliance referrals and asylum claims. The 1% compliance figure and asylum totals concern the wider Skilled Worker route.
- Home Office — Response to the inspection of the immigration system and social care
26 March 2024. Sections “Evidence” and “Abuse”: false evidence used to obtain a licence in a real care home’s name, 275 Defined Certificates of Sponsorship and the department’s stated reasons for care-sponsor revocations.
- Public Accounts Committee — Oral evidence: Immigration: Skilled Worker visas
8 May 2025, HC 819, questions 43–51. Marc Owen’s statement follows question 51; officials describe the care-worker rematching approach after sponsor-licence revocation.
- Supplied analysis — 2023 care-worker sponsorship and the later sponsor register
Source graphic supplied for this article, citing Home Office FOI 2025/02939 and the UKVI register of licensed sponsors dated 28 October 2026. Reported counts: 81,713 of 160,379 published certificates; 50.95%, rounded to 51%. The underlying FOI response and employer-matching records were not available for independent verification.